Welterweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Pettis won · U-DEC

Elo1493

Elo1478

Anthony PettisvsAlex MoronoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Saturday, December 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Pettis won

U-DEC

Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsAlex Morono: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Pettis at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Pettis

Red Corner

Alex Morono

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1493

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Pettis

oldest →

KOvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 18

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19

vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19

SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20

vs Donald Cerrone · May 20

latest

Alex MoronoL4 streak

oldest →

vs Court McGee · Apr 24

vs Niko Price · Jun 24

vs Daniel Rodriguez · Oct 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Mar 25

vs Daniil Donchenko · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony PettisMetricAlex Morono

3.05

Strikes / min

4.90

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

4.88

54%

Strike defense

55%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.32

60%

Takedown defense

47%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony PettisAlex Morono

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Alex Morono(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.5|Blue -15.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony PettisTargetAlex Morono

By target zone

51% acc · 52%

Head

36% acc · 71%

79% acc · 22%

Body

50% acc · 19%

87% acc · 26%

Leg

60% acc · 10%

By position

64% acc · 96%

Distance

37% acc · 84%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

50% acc · 2%

Ground

71% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Pettis rounds

even

Alex Morono rounds

Round 1Alex Morono edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:31

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:30Control

Round 2Anthony Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:03

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Anthony Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control3:58

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 80

Sig Strikes

31 / 78

61.3%

Sig Str %

39.3%

80 / 115

Total Strikes

50 / 102

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:32

Ctrl Time

2:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex Morono	11 / 24	18 / 35	1 / 2
1	Anthony Pettis	6 / 14	9 / 18	0 / 0
2	Alex Morono	17 / 46	17 / 46	0 / 1
2	Anthony Pettis	32 / 51	32 / 51	0 / 1
3	Alex Morono	3 / 8	15 / 21	0 / 2
3	Anthony Pettis	12 / 15	39 / 46	0 / 0

Anthony Pettis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights20

Alex Morono

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights23