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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sean O'Connell won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1356
Elo1359
Sean O'Connell

Anthony PeroshvsSean O'ConnellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · Saturday, May 9, 2015Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Sean O'Connell won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:56

Style matchupAnthony Perosh: WrestlervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Anthony Perosh wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Sean O'Connell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Perosh at -130 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Sean O'Connell is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Anthony Perosh has lost 75% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Perosh
Red Corner
VS
Sean O'Connell
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1356
Elo
1359
53
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Perosh
oldest →
L
KOvs Ryan Jimmo · Jul 12
W
KOvs Vinny Magalhaes · Aug 13
L
vs Ryan Bader · Dec 13
W
SUBvs Guto Inocente · Nov 14
L
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 15
latest
Sean O'ConnellL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Gian Villante · Jun 14
W
KOvs Matt Van Buren · Jan 15
L
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16
L
vs Steve Bosse · Jun 16
L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony PeroshMetricSean O'Connell
2.27
Strikes / min
5.46
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
6.77
53%
Strike defense
45%
2.03
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
30%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.50evenly matched on net striking-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1540 vs 1485Strikes14.2 vs 63.3Takedowns0.9 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.67Form0.5 vs -0.0
Anthony PeroshSean O'Connell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Anthony Perosh(9 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +72.0|Blue -72.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony PeroshTargetSean O'Connell

By target zone

3
60% acc · 100%
Head
18
55% acc · 90%
0
Body
1
25% acc · 5%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 5%

By position

3
60% acc · 100%
Distance
9
43% acc · 45%
0
Clinch
11
65% acc · 55%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Anthony Perosh rounds
0
even
1
Sean O'Connell rounds
Round 1Sean O'Connell edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 5
Sig Strikes
20 / 38
60%
Sig Str %
52%
3 / 5
Total Strikes
20 / 38
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sean O'Connell20 / 3820 / 380 / 00
1Anthony Perosh3 / 53 / 50 / 00

Anthony Perosh

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9

Sean O'Connell

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7