Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Perosh won · SUB R1

Elo1356

Elo1354

Anthony PeroshvsGuto InocenteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Friday, November 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Anthony Perosh won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:46

Style matchupAnthony Perosh: WrestlervsGuto Inocente: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Anthony Perosh wins(69.9%)

Actual result: Anthony Perosh wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Perosh at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Perosh enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anthony Perosh threatens submissions; Guto Inocente has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Guto Inocente has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Perosh

Red Corner

Guto Inocente

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1356

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony PeroshL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ryan Jimmo · Jul 12

KOvs Vinny Magalhaes · Aug 13

vs Ryan Bader · Dec 13

KOvs Sean O'Connell · May 15

KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 15

latest

Guto Inocente

oldest →

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony PeroshMetricGuto Inocente

2.27

Strikes / min

4.13

3.77

Strikes absorbed / min

2.92

53%

Strike defense

54%

2.03

TDs / 15 min

0.67

33%

Takedown defense

66%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.50Δ 2.71 — meaningful gap+1.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony PeroshGuto Inocente

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Perosh(9 fights)Guto Inocente(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +212.0|Blue -212.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony PeroshTargetGuto Inocente

By target zone

65% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

25% acc · 9%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

77% acc · 91%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Perosh rounds

even

Guto Inocente rounds

Round 1Anthony Perosh edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:41

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 17

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

64%

Sig Str %

33%

26 / 34

Total Strikes

1 / 3

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:41

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Guto Inocente	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Anthony Perosh	11 / 17	26 / 34	1 / 2	1

Anthony Perosh

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9

Guto Inocente

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach—

Fights2