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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gian Villante won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1356
Elo1411

Anthony PeroshvsGian VillanteUFC Prediction Result

UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · Saturday, November 14, 2015Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

Gian Villante won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:56

Style matchupAnthony Perosh: WrestlervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Anthony Perosh wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Gian Villante wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Perosh at +450 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Gian Villante is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Anthony Perosh has lost 75% of fights by KO.
  • Gian Villante has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Perosh
Red Corner
VS
Gian Villante
Blue Corner
+450
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-600
(86%)
1356
Elo
1411
53
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Perosh
oldest →
L
KOvs Ryan Jimmo · Jul 12
W
KOvs Vinny Magalhaes · Aug 13
L
vs Ryan Bader · Dec 13
W
SUBvs Guto Inocente · Nov 14
L
KOvs Sean O'Connell · May 15
latest
Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18
L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19
L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20
L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20
L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony PeroshMetricGian Villante
2.27
Strikes / min
4.38
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
53%
Strike defense
55%
2.03
TDs / 15 min
0.45
33%
Takedown defense
83%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.50evenly matched on net striking-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1502Strikes13.2 vs 49.7Takedowns0.8 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.45 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Anthony PeroshGian Villante

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Anthony Perosh(9 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -55.1|Blue +55.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony PeroshTargetGian Villante

By target zone

6
20% acc · 100%
Head
12
46% acc · 63%
0
0% acc
Body
5
83% acc · 26%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 11%

By position

6
20% acc · 100%
Distance
17
55% acc · 89%
0
0% acc
Clinch
2
67% acc · 11%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Anthony Perosh rounds
0
even
1
Gian Villante rounds
Round 1Gian Villante edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 32
Sig Strikes
19 / 34
18%
Sig Str %
55%
7 / 33
Total Strikes
19 / 34
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gian Villante19 / 3419 / 340 / 00
1Anthony Perosh6 / 327 / 330 / 00

Anthony Perosh

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18