Lightweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Njokuani won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1354

Elo1353

Anthony NjokuanivsRoger BowlingUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · Saturday, April 20, 2013San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Njokuani won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:52

Style matchupAnthony Njokuani: Elusive strikervsRoger Bowling: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Anthony Njokuani wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Anthony Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Njokuani at -175 American odds

+$57 profit

$157 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Njokuani enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anthony Njokuani has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Anthony Njokuani has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Anthony Njokuani has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Njokuani

Red Corner

Roger Bowling

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1354

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony NjokuaniL3 streak

oldest →

vs Danny Castillo · Dec 11

vs John Makdessi · Apr 12

vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 12

vs Vinc Pichel · May 14

vs Daron Cruickshank · Oct 14

latest

Roger Bowling

oldest →

KOvs Abel Trujillo · Dec 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony NjokuaniMetricRoger Bowling

3.94

Strikes / min

3.90

2.41

Strikes absorbed / min

3.86

65%

Strike defense

51%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

3.09

53%

Takedown defense

27%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.53Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony NjokuaniRoger Bowling

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)Roger Bowling(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -46.0|Blue +46.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony NjokuaniTargetRoger Bowling

By target zone

45% acc · 58%

Head

27% acc · 56%

78% acc · 27%

Body

55% acc · 22%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

60% acc · 22%

By position

54% acc · 85%

Distance

32% acc · 81%

100% acc · 15%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Njokuani rounds

even

Roger Bowling rounds

Round 1Roger Bowling edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 2Anthony Njokuani edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 46

Sig Strikes

27 / 76

56.5%

Sig Str %

35%

28 / 48

Total Strikes

32 / 82

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Roger Bowling	16 / 45	21 / 51	1 / 1
1	Anthony Njokuani	14 / 25	16 / 27	0 / 0
2	Roger Bowling	11 / 31	11 / 31	0 / 0
2	Anthony Njokuani	12 / 21	12 / 21	0 / 1

Anthony Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Roger Bowling

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2