Skip to content
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Njokuani won · U-DEC R3
Elo1354
Elo1351
Andre Winner

Anthony NjokuanivsAndre WinnerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Njokuani won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Anthony Njokuani wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Anthony Njokuani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Njokuani at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Anthony Njokuani has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Andre Winner has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Njokuani
Red Corner
VS
Andre Winner
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1354
Elo
1351
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony NjokuaniL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs John Makdessi · Apr 12
L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 12
W
KOvs Roger Bowling · Apr 13
L
vs Vinc Pichel · May 14
L
vs Daron Cruickshank · Oct 14
latest
Andre WinnerL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rafaello Oliveira · Mar 10
L
vs Nik Lentz · Aug 10
L
SUBvs Dennis Siver · Nov 10
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony NjokuaniMetricAndre Winner
3.94
Strikes / min
2.52
2.41
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
65%
Strike defense
51%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
74%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 3.58 — meaningful gap-2.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes72.0 vs 30.8Takedowns1.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -0.5
Anthony NjokuaniAndre Winner

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)Andre Winner(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony NjokuaniTargetAndre Winner

By target zone

61
44% acc · 53%
Head
8
9% acc · 53%
31
79% acc · 27%
Body
6
43% acc · 40%
24
75% acc · 21%
Leg
1
13% acc · 7%

By position

75
49% acc · 65%
Distance
10
10% acc · 67%
41
71% acc · 35%
Clinch
5
56% acc · 33%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Anthony Njokuani rounds
0
even
0
Andre Winner rounds
Round 1Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes59
Takedowns1
Control0:19
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control0:40
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Anthony Njokuani edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:08
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
116 / 211
Sig Strikes
15 / 114
53.3%
Sig Str %
13.3%
118 / 214
Total Strikes
17 / 116
2 / 3
TDs
0 / 1
66.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:07
Ctrl Time
0:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Winner4 / 464 / 460 / 00
1Anthony Njokuani59 / 9861 / 1011 / 10
2Andre Winner6 / 297 / 300 / 10
2Anthony Njokuani32 / 5932 / 591 / 10
3Andre Winner5 / 396 / 400 / 00
3Anthony Njokuani25 / 5425 / 540 / 10

Anthony Njokuani

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8

Andre Winner

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4