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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Albert Tumenov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1353
Anthony Lapsley
Elo1358
Albert Tumenov

Anthony LapsleyvsAlbert TumenovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · Saturday, May 10, 2014Cincinnati, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Albert Tumenov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:56

Model Prediction: Albert Tumenov wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Albert Tumenov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Albert Tumenov at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Albert Tumenov is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Anthony Lapsley has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Albert Tumenov has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Anthony Lapsley (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Lapsley
Red Corner
VS
Albert Tumenov
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
1353
Elo
1358
46
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Lapsley
oldest →
L
vs Jason High · Nov 13
latest
Albert TumenovL2 streak
oldest →
W
DECvs Nico Musoke · Jan 15
W
KOvs Alan Jouban · Oct 15
W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 16
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · May 16
L
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Oct 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony LapsleyMetricAlbert Tumenov
0.53
Strikes / min
3.76
0.58
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
66%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.20
20%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05evenly matched on net striking+0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1481 vs 1482Strikes8.0 vs 32.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Anthony LapsleyAlbert Tumenov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Anthony Lapsley(2 fights)Albert Tumenov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.0|Blue +5.0
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony LapsleyTargetAlbert Tumenov

By target zone

1
14% acc · 50%
Head
6
29% acc · 100%
1
33% acc · 50%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

2
20% acc · 100%
Distance
5
28% acc · 83%
0
Clinch
1
33% acc · 17%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Anthony Lapsley rounds
0
even
1
Albert Tumenov rounds
Round 1Albert Tumenov edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
2 / 10
Sig Strikes
6 / 21
20%
Sig Str %
28%
2 / 10
Total Strikes
6 / 21
0 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Albert Tumenov6 / 216 / 210 / 00
1Anthony Lapsley2 / 102 / 100 / 50

Anthony Lapsley

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2

Albert Tumenov

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8