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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Johnson won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1373

Anthony JohnsonvsJimi ManuwaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · Saturday, September 5, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:28

Style matchupAnthony Johnson: WrestlervsJimi Manuwa: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jimi Manuwa wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Anthony Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jimi Manuwa at +525 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Anthony Johnson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Jimi Manuwa has lost 83% of fights by KO.
Anthony Johnson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Johnson

Red Corner

Jimi Manuwa

Blue Corner

-750

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+525

(16%)

1491

Elo

1373

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15

SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15

KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16

KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16

SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17

latest

Jimi ManuwaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17

vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18

KOvs Thiago Santos · Dec 18

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony JohnsonMetricJimi Manuwa

3.25

Strikes / min

3.43

1.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.97

60%

Strike defense

49%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

0.53

77%

Takedown defense

70%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.42Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony JohnsonJimi Manuwa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +117.5|Blue -117.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony JohnsonTargetJimi Manuwa

By target zone

52% acc · 64%

Head

9% acc · 13%

75% acc · 12%

Body

0% acc

86% acc · 24%

Leg

88% acc · 88%

By position

52% acc · 52%

Distance

31% acc · 63%

75% acc · 36%

Clinch

75% acc · 38%

60% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Johnson rounds

even

Jimi Manuwa rounds

Round 1Anthony Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control3:18

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 2Anthony Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 42

Sig Strikes

8 / 20

57%

Sig Str %

40%

37 / 55

Total Strikes

8 / 20

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:21

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jimi Manuwa	6 / 15	6 / 15	0 / 0
1	Anthony Johnson	18 / 28	30 / 41	2 / 2
2	Jimi Manuwa	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0
2	Anthony Johnson	7 / 14	7 / 14	0 / 0

Anthony Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11

Jimi Manuwa

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12