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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Johnson won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Anthony Johnson
Elo1450

Anthony JohnsonvsGlover TeixeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · Saturday, August 20, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:13

Style matchupAnthony Johnson: WrestlervsGlover Teixeira: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(61.3%)

Actual result: Anthony Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at +200 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Anthony Johnson has lost 100% of fights by sub.
  • Anthony Johnson has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Glover Teixeira
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
1491
Elo
1450
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Johnson
oldest →
W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15
W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15
W
KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17
latest
Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20
W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20
W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21
L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony JohnsonMetricGlover Teixeira
3.25
Strikes / min
3.73
1.83
Strikes absorbed / min
4.43
60%
Strike defense
51%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
2.11
77%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1583 vs 1592Strikes20.9 vs 38.1Takedowns1.1 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.29 vs 0.40Form0.7 vs 0.7
Anthony JohnsonGlover Teixeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +40.9|Blue -40.9
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony JohnsonTargetGlover Teixeira

By target zone

4
50% acc · 100%
Head
1
33% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

2
33% acc · 50%
Distance
1
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
2
100% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Anthony Johnson rounds
0
even
0
Glover Teixeira rounds
Round 1Anthony Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
4 / 8
Sig Strikes
1 / 3
50%
Sig Str %
33%
4 / 8
Total Strikes
1 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Glover Teixeira1 / 31 / 30 / 00
1Anthony Johnson4 / 84 / 80 / 00

Anthony Johnson

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights23