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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Daniel Cormier won · SUB R3

Elo1491

Elo1388

Anthony JohnsonvsDaniel CormierUFC Prediction Result

UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · Saturday, May 23, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Cormier won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:39

Style matchupAnthony Johnson: WrestlervsDaniel Cormier: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Cormier at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Johnson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Johnson

Red Corner

Daniel Cormier

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1491

Elo

1388

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'11"

198.12 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15

KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16

KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16

SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17

latest

Daniel CormierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony JohnsonMetricDaniel Cormier

3.25

Strikes / min

4.25

1.83

Strikes absorbed / min

2.92

60%

Strike defense

54%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

1.83

77%

Takedown defense

80%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony JohnsonDaniel Cormier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Daniel Cormier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +103.0|Blue -103.0

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony JohnsonTargetDaniel Cormier

By target zone

40% acc · 78%

Head

54% acc · 87%

100% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 9%

Leg

50% acc · 4%

By position

39% acc · 65%

Distance

29% acc · 22%

64% acc · 30%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

75% acc · 65%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Johnson rounds

even

Daniel Cormier rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:02Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:32Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:41

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 50

Sig Strikes

23 / 41

46.3%

Sig Str %

55.7%

28 / 56

Total Strikes

70 / 92

1 / 2

TDs

3 / 8

50%

TD %

46.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

9:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Daniel Cormier	5 / 13	12 / 20	2 / 5	0
1	Anthony Johnson	11 / 26	12 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Daniel Cormier	14 / 22	44 / 55	1 / 1	2
2	Anthony Johnson	8 / 13	12 / 18	0 / 0	0
3	Daniel Cormier	4 / 6	14 / 17	0 / 2	1
3	Anthony Johnson	4 / 11	4 / 11	1 / 2	0

Anthony Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14