Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Christian Aguilera won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1389
Anthony Ivy
Elo1400

Anthony IvyvsChristian AguileraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · Saturday, June 13, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Christian Aguilera won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:59

Model Prediction: Anthony Ivy wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Christian Aguilera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Ivy at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Christian Aguilera is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Anthony Ivy has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Anthony Ivy has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Christian Aguilera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Ivy
Red Corner
VS
Christian Aguilera
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1389
Elo
1400
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Ivy
oldest →
L
vs Bryan Barberena · Sep 20
latest
Christian AguileraL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Aug 20
L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · May 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony IvyMetricChristian Aguilera
2.50
Strikes / min
2.54
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
51%
Strike defense
48%
4.69
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.07evenly matched on net striking-1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes0.0 vs 0.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Anthony IvyChristian Aguilera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Anthony Ivy(2 fights)Christian Aguilera(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -11.5|Blue +11.5
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony IvyTargetChristian Aguilera

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
9
41% acc · 90%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 10%
4
100% acc · 100%
Leg
0

By position

4
36% acc · 100%
Distance
10
43% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Anthony Ivy rounds
0
even
1
Christian Aguilera rounds
Round 1Christian Aguilera edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
4 / 11
Sig Strikes
10 / 23
36%
Sig Str %
43%
4 / 11
Total Strikes
10 / 23
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Christian Aguilera10 / 2310 / 230 / 00
1Anthony Ivy4 / 114 / 110 / 00

Anthony Ivy

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2

Christian Aguilera

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3