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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Shamil Abdurakhimov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1363

Elo1447

Anthony HamiltonvsShamil AbdurakhimovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · Sunday, February 21, 2016Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Shamil Abdurakhimov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Anthony Hamilton wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Shamil Abdurakhimov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Hamilton at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Anthony Hamilton is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Shamil Abdurakhimov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Shamil Abdurakhimov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Anthony Hamilton has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Hamilton

Red Corner

Shamil Abdurakhimov

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1363

Elo

1447

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony HamiltonL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Damian Grabowski · Jul 16

SUBvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 16

KOvs Marcel Fortuna · Feb 17

KOvs Daniel Spitz · Sep 17

vs Adam Wieczorek · Nov 17

latest

Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19

KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22

KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony HamiltonMetricShamil Abdurakhimov

3.91

Strikes / min

2.41

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

45%

Strike defense

55%

2.62

TDs / 15 min

1.01

78%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.89Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony HamiltonShamil Abdurakhimov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Hamilton(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -84.1|Blue +84.1

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony HamiltonTargetShamil Abdurakhimov

By target zone

37% acc · 48%

Head

58% acc · 79%

84% acc · 40%

Body

67% acc · 10%

83% acc · 13%

Leg

64% acc · 11%

By position

42% acc · 40%

Distance

48% acc · 47%

62% acc · 60%

Clinch

76% acc · 50%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Hamilton rounds

even

Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds

Round 1Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:05

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:10

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 77

Sig Strikes

62 / 104

50.3%

Sig Str %

60%

48 / 86

Total Strikes

89 / 132

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Shamil Abdurakhimov	20 / 36	31 / 47	0 / 1
1	Anthony Hamilton	12 / 25	12 / 26	0 / 2
2	Shamil Abdurakhimov	18 / 37	23 / 42	0 / 1
2	Anthony Hamilton	9 / 22	12 / 25	0 / 2
3	Shamil Abdurakhimov	24 / 31	35 / 43	0 / 0
3	Anthony Hamilton	19 / 30	24 / 35	0 / 0

Anthony Hamilton

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights10

Shamil Abdurakhimov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights11