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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Scott Holtzman won · SUB R3

Elo1355

Elo1443

Anthony ChristodoulouvsScott HoltzmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · Saturday, August 8, 2015Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Scott Holtzman won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:40

Model Prediction: Anthony Christodoulou wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Christodoulou at +775 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Scott Holtzman has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Scott Holtzman has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Christodoulou

Red Corner

Scott Holtzman

Blue Corner

+775

(11%)

Vegas Odds

-1200

(92%)

1355

Elo

1443

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Christodoulou

oldest →

KOvs Mairbek Taisumov · Jan 15

latest

Scott HoltzmanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19

vs Jim Miller · Feb 20

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20

KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21

vs Clay Guida · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony ChristodoulouMetricScott Holtzman

2.19

Strikes / min

4.32

5.90

Strikes absorbed / min

3.66

45%

Strike defense

55%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.88

40%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.71Δ 4.37 — meaningful gap+0.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony ChristodoulouScott Holtzman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Christodoulou(2 fights)Scott Holtzman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -88.0|Blue +88.0

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony ChristodoulouTargetScott Holtzman

By target zone

22% acc · 74%

Head

43% acc · 61%

100% acc · 19%

Body

71% acc · 24%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

79% acc · 15%

By position

24% acc · 77%

Distance

46% acc · 73%

64% acc · 23%

Clinch

76% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Christodoulou rounds

even

Scott Holtzman rounds

Round 1Scott Holtzman edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:34

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 2Scott Holtzman edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:11

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 3Scott Holtzman edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:01

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 112

Sig Strikes

71 / 138

24.7%

Sig Str %

50.3%

44 / 125

Total Strikes

96 / 163

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:46

Ctrl Time

4:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Scott Holtzman	30 / 51	43 / 64	0 / 1	0
1	Anthony Christodoulou	10 / 40	18 / 48	0 / 0	0
2	Scott Holtzman	30 / 64	36 / 70	0 / 1	0
2	Anthony Christodoulou	18 / 55	21 / 58	0 / 0	0
3	Scott Holtzman	11 / 23	17 / 29	1 / 1	1
3	Anthony Christodoulou	3 / 17	5 / 19	0 / 0	0

Anthony Christodoulou

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Scott Holtzman

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights13