Featherweight

3 Rounds

Rodrigo Damm won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1354

Anistavio MedeirosvsRodrigo DammUFC Prediction Result

UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · Saturday, June 23, 2012Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Rodrigo Damm won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:12

Style matchupAnistavio Medeiros: StrikervsRodrigo Damm: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Rodrigo Damm wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Rodrigo Damm wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodrigo Damm at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rodrigo Damm has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rodrigo Damm has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anistavio Medeiros

Red Corner

Rodrigo Damm

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

178 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anistavio MedeirosNo prior UFC fights on record.

Rodrigo DammL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13

vs Ivan Jorge · Feb 14

vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14

vs Evan Dunham · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anistavio MedeirosMetricRodrigo Damm

3.64

Strikes / min

3.50

5.00

Strikes absorbed / min

5.61

47%

Strike defense

57%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.44

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.36evenly matched on net striking-2.11

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anistavio Medeiros(1 fights)Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.1|Blue -136.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anistavio MedeirosTargetRodrigo Damm

By target zone

17% acc · 25%

Head

44% acc · 64%

Body

100% acc · 18%

100% acc · 75%

Leg

67% acc · 18%

By position

44% acc · 100%

Distance

52% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anistavio Medeiros rounds

even

Rodrigo Damm rounds

Round 1Rodrigo Damm edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 18

Sig Strikes

11 / 21

44%

Sig Str %

52%

8 / 18

Total Strikes

12 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rodrigo Damm	11 / 21	12 / 22	0 / 0	1
1	Anistavio Medeiros	8 / 18	8 / 18	0 / 0	0

Anistavio Medeiros

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach—

Fights1

Rodrigo Damm

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7