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Strawweight
3 Rounds
Angela Hill won · Decision R3
Elo1506
Angela Hill
Elo1479

Angela HillvsXiong JingnanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Angela Hill wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Angela Hill at +176 American odds

+$176 profit

$276 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Angela Hill has 60pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Angela Hill has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill
Red Corner
VS
Xiong Jingnan
Blue Corner
+176
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-216
(68%)
1506
Elo
1479
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
N/A
5'3"
Height
N/A
162.56 cm
Reach
N/A

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela HillL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
latest
Xiong JingnanNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricXiong Jingnan
5.37
Strikes / min
0.00
5.02
Strikes absorbed / min
0.00
60%
Strike defense
0%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.00
72%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.35evenly matched on net striking0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Angela Hill(10 fights)Xiong Jingnan(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +26.8|Blue -26.8
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -48.2|Blue +48.2
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetXiong Jingnan

By target zone

77
53% acc · 63%
Head
33
23% acc · 49%
43
86% acc · 35%
Body
21
62% acc · 31%
2
100% acc · 2%
Leg
14
78% acc · 21%

By position

94
58% acc · 77%
Distance
58
32% acc · 85%
28
80% acc · 23%
Clinch
10
56% acc · 15%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Angela Hill rounds
0
even
0
Xiong Jingnan rounds
Round 1Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:57
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns1
Control0:41
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:28
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
122 / 197
Sig Strikes
68 / 198
61.7%
Sig Str %
33.7%
136 / 212
Total Strikes
91 / 224
1 / 4
TDs
0 / 0
33.3%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:06
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Xiong Jingnan23 / 6440 / 820 / 00
1Angela Hill36 / 5742 / 640 / 10
2Xiong Jingnan25 / 7229 / 770 / 00
2Angela Hill42 / 6843 / 691 / 11
3Xiong Jingnan20 / 6222 / 650 / 00
3Angela Hill44 / 7251 / 790 / 20

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30

Xiong Jingnan

Stance
Height
Reach
Fights1