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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tabatha Ricci won · U-DEC R3
Elo1506
Angela Hill
Elo1492
Tabatha Ricci editorial illustration

Angela HillvsTabatha RicciUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Saturday, August 24, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tabatha Ricci won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsTabatha Ricci: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Tabatha Ricci wins(74.2%)

Actual result: Tabatha Ricci wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tabatha Ricci at -192 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill
Red Corner
VS
Tabatha Ricci
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-192
(66%)
1506
Elo
1492
41
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'1"
162.56 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill
oldest →
W
SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest
Tabatha RicciL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Tecia Pennington · May 24
L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 24
W
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 25
L
DECvs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 26
L
DECvs Fatima Kline · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricTabatha Ricci
5.37
Strikes / min
4.00
5.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.83
60%
Strike defense
57%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
2.51
72%
Takedown defense
65%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.35Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1547Strikes5.5 vs 4.6Takedowns0.8 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.10Form0.7 vs 0.5
Angela HillTabatha Ricci

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Angela Hill(10 fights)Tabatha Ricci(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +13.8|Blue -13.8
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetTabatha Ricci

By target zone

66
43% acc · 59%
Head
82
38% acc · 81%
43
70% acc · 38%
Body
8
62% acc · 8%
3
100% acc · 3%
Leg
11
100% acc · 11%

By position

88
48% acc · 79%
Distance
88
40% acc · 87%
19
73% acc · 17%
Clinch
10
71% acc · 10%
5
63% acc · 4%
Ground
3
50% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Angela Hill rounds
1
even
1
Tabatha Ricci rounds
Round 1Tabatha Ricci edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 3Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns0
Control0:05
39Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
112 / 216
Sig Strikes
101 / 239
50.3%
Sig Str %
42.3%
140 / 245
Total Strikes
140 / 280
0 / 2
TDs
3 / 4
0%
TD %
75%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:10
Ctrl Time
5:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tabatha Ricci27 / 6242 / 780 / 00
1Angela Hill21 / 4735 / 610 / 00
2Tabatha Ricci35 / 7644 / 862 / 20
2Angela Hill44 / 7951 / 870 / 10
3Tabatha Ricci39 / 10154 / 1161 / 20
3Angela Hill47 / 9054 / 970 / 10

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30

Tabatha Ricci

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights12