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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Angela Hill won · S-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1523

Angela HillvsKetlen SouzaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsKetlen Souza: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ketlen Souza wins(59.7%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ketlen Souza at -104 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Angela Hill has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill

Red Corner

Ketlen Souza

Blue Corner

-112

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-104

(51%)

1506

Elo

1523

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'3"

162.56 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill

oldest →

SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Ketlen SouzaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Marnic Mann · Apr 24

SUBvs Yazmin Jauregui · Sep 24

vs Piera Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26

KOvs Ariane Carnelossi · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricKetlen Souza

5.37

Strikes / min

4.01

5.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.86

60%

Strike defense

52%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.46

72%

Takedown defense

53%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35evenly matched on net striking+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Angela HillKetlen Souza

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Angela Hill(10 fights)Ketlen Souza(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -17.2|Blue +17.2

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetKetlen Souza

By target zone

42% acc · 47%

Head

41% acc · 59%

73% acc · 47%

Body

83% acc · 27%

86% acc · 7%

Leg

71% acc · 14%

By position

48% acc · 73%

Distance

48% acc · 87%

84% acc · 19%

Clinch

90% acc · 13%

88% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Angela Hill rounds

even

Ketlen Souza rounds

Round 1Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control3:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:03

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:28

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 158

Sig Strikes

70 / 138

52.7%

Sig Str %

51.3%

103 / 176

Total Strikes

77 / 146

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 2

44.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:31

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ketlen Souza	15 / 27	19 / 32	0 / 1
1	Angela Hill	28 / 46	40 / 59	1 / 1
2	Ketlen Souza	32 / 65	35 / 68	0 / 0
2	Angela Hill	42 / 70	46 / 74	0 / 2
3	Ketlen Souza	23 / 46	23 / 46	0 / 1
3	Angela Hill	16 / 42	17 / 43	1 / 3

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30

Ketlen Souza

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights7