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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Angela Hill won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1375

Angela HillvsJodie EsquibelUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · Saturday, April 27, 2019Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsJodie Esquibel: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Angela Hill wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Angela Hill at -610 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jodie Esquibel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill

Red Corner

Jodie Esquibel

Blue Corner

-610

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+455

(18%)

1506

Elo

1375

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'1"

162.56 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Jodie EsquibelL3 streak

oldest →

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 17

vs Jessica Aguilar · Jul 18

vs Hannah Cifers · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricJodie Esquibel

5.37

Strikes / min

4.10

5.02

Strikes absorbed / min

7.37

60%

Strike defense

52%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.75

72%

Takedown defense

83%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 3.62 — meaningful gap-3.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Angela HillJodie Esquibel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Angela Hill(10 fights)Jodie Esquibel(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +130.6|Blue -130.6

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -252.0|Blue +252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetJodie Esquibel

By target zone

43% acc · 71%

Head

16% acc · 70%

81% acc · 26%

Body

36% acc · 26%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

50% acc · 4%

By position

103

47% acc · 88%

Distance

18% acc · 88%

81% acc · 11%

Clinch

58% acc · 12%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Angela Hill rounds

even

Jodie Esquibel rounds

Round 1Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:02

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:03

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

117 / 236

Sig Strikes

57 / 289

49.3%

Sig Str %

19%

118 / 237

Total Strikes

57 / 289

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jodie Esquibel	23 / 106	23 / 106	0 / 1
1	Angela Hill	33 / 78	34 / 79	0 / 2
2	Jodie Esquibel	19 / 101	19 / 101	0 / 1
2	Angela Hill	43 / 75	43 / 75	0 / 0
3	Jodie Esquibel	15 / 82	15 / 82	0 / 1
3	Angela Hill	41 / 83	41 / 83	0 / 1

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30

Jodie Esquibel

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights4