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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Angela Hill won · U-DEC R3

Elo1506

Elo1495

Angela HillvsEmily DucoteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · Saturday, December 3, 2022Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsEmily Ducote: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Emily Ducote wins(76.8%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Emily Ducote at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Emily Ducote has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill

Red Corner

Emily Ducote

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1506

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'2"

162.56 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Emily Ducote

oldest →

vs Jessica Penne · Jul 22

vs Loopy Godinez · May 23

vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 23

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricEmily Ducote

5.37

Strikes / min

7.45

5.02

Strikes absorbed / min

7.84

60%

Strike defense

57%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.20

72%

Takedown defense

94%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Angela HillEmily Ducote

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Angela Hill(10 fights)Emily Ducote(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.4|Blue -10.4

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetEmily Ducote

By target zone

40% acc · 52%

Head

33% acc · 69%

83% acc · 40%

Body

82% acc · 25%

82% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

130

45% acc · 71%

Distance

39% acc · 87%

98% acc · 29%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Angela Hill rounds

even

Emily Ducote rounds

Round 1Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes50

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes67

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes65

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

182 / 345

Sig Strikes

71 / 173

52%

Sig Str %

39.7%

190 / 353

Total Strikes

76 / 178

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Emily Ducote	21 / 53	21 / 53	0 / 0
1	Angela Hill	50 / 104	50 / 104	0 / 0
2	Emily Ducote	16 / 50	18 / 52	0 / 1
2	Angela Hill	67 / 120	68 / 121	0 / 0
3	Emily Ducote	34 / 70	37 / 73	0 / 1
3	Angela Hill	65 / 121	72 / 128	0 / 0

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30

Emily Ducote

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights5