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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Angela Hill won · U-DEC R3
Elo1506
Angela Hill
Elo1539

Angela HillvsDenise GomesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Saturday, November 4, 2023Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsDenise Gomes: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Denise Gomes wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Denise Gomes enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill
Red Corner
VS
Denise Gomes
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1506
Elo
1539
41
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'2"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest
Denise GomesW5 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Jul 23
W
vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24
W
KOvs Elise Reed · May 25
W
vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricDenise Gomes
5.37
Strikes / min
4.43
5.02
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.45
72%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.35evenly matched on net striking+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1479 vs 1519Strikes5.5 vs 4.5Takedowns0.8 vs 0.9Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.90Form-0.2 vs 0.6
Angela HillDenise Gomes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Angela Hill(10 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -32.7|Blue +32.7
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetDenise Gomes

By target zone

37
49% acc · 49%
Head
29
32% acc · 47%
37
88% acc · 49%
Body
25
76% acc · 40%
2
100% acc · 3%
Leg
8
89% acc · 13%

By position

40
59% acc · 53%
Distance
34
35% acc · 55%
33
75% acc · 43%
Clinch
27
77% acc · 44%
3
38% acc · 4%
Ground
1
100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Angela Hill rounds
0
even
1
Denise Gomes rounds
Round 1Denise Gomes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:42
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 2Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control1:23
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Angela Hill edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns3
Control3:58
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
76 / 120
Sig Strikes
62 / 133
62%
Sig Str %
45.7%
96 / 153
Total Strikes
111 / 203
5 / 9
TDs
1 / 3
52.7%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
1
8:03
Ctrl Time
1:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Denise Gomes23 / 3248 / 701 / 30
1Angela Hill16 / 2623 / 361 / 20
2Denise Gomes33 / 7146 / 860 / 00
2Angela Hill37 / 5342 / 621 / 30
3Denise Gomes6 / 3017 / 470 / 00
3Angela Hill23 / 4131 / 553 / 40

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30

Denise Gomes

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights8