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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Angela Hill won · U-DEC

Elo1506

Elo1480

Angela HillvsAshley YoderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Saturday, March 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Angela Hill won

U-DEC

Style matchupAngela Hill: Pressure fightervsAshley Yoder: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ashley Yoder at +270 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Angela Hill has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
Ashley Yoder has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Angela Hill

Red Corner

Ashley Yoder

Blue Corner

-330

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1506

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angela Hill

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25

vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25

DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26

latest

Ashley YoderL2 streak

oldest →

vs Randa Markos · Oct 19

vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20

vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21

vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angela HillMetricAshley Yoder

5.37

Strikes / min

3.42

5.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.13

60%

Strike defense

47%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

1.09

72%

Takedown defense

66%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Angela HillAshley Yoder

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Angela Hill(10 fights)Ashley Yoder(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.2|Blue -26.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angela HillTargetAshley Yoder

By target zone

41% acc · 34%

Head

20% acc · 50%

65% acc · 45%

Body

52% acc · 32%

89% acc · 21%

Leg

60% acc · 18%

By position

48% acc · 61%

Distance

30% acc · 100%

88% acc · 38%

Clinch

0% acc

25% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Angela Hill rounds

even

Ashley Yoder rounds

Round 1Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control1:41

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:07

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 3Angela Hill edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control2:04

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:52Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

77 / 135

Sig Strikes

34 / 116

57%

Sig Str %

30%

97 / 165

Total Strikes

53 / 143

1 / 3

TDs

2 / 6

25%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:52

Ctrl Time

2:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ashley Yoder	12 / 39	12 / 42	0 / 2
1	Angela Hill	22 / 43	24 / 49	1 / 2
2	Ashley Yoder	16 / 59	21 / 65	1 / 2
2	Angela Hill	32 / 56	42 / 68	0 / 0
3	Ashley Yoder	6 / 18	20 / 36	1 / 2
3	Angela Hill	23 / 36	31 / 48	0 / 1

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights30

Ashley Yoder

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights11