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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Caolan Loughran won · U-DEC R3

Elo1476

Elo1508

Angel PachecovsCaolan LoughranUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Caolan Loughran won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAngel Pacheco: Pressure fightervsCaolan Loughran: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Angel Pacheco wins(53.9%)

Actual result: Caolan Loughran wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Caolan Loughran has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Caolan Loughran has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Angel Pacheco

Red Corner

Caolan Loughran

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1476

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Angel Pacheco

oldest →

vs Santiago Luna · Feb 26

latest

Caolan Loughran

oldest →

vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 23

vs Jake Hadley · Jul 24

vs Nathan Fletcher · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Angel PachecoMetricCaolan Loughran

7.58

Strikes / min

4.73

10.56

Strikes absorbed / min

5.20

41%

Strike defense

52%

0.33

TDs / 15 min

3.00

16%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.98Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Angel PachecoCaolan Loughran

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Angel Pacheco(2 fights)Caolan Loughran(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.9|Blue +31.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Angel PachecoTargetCaolan Loughran

By target zone

24% acc · 50%

Head

112

50% acc · 80%

84% acc · 36%

Body

60% acc · 13%

75% acc · 14%

Leg

83% acc · 7%

By position

35% acc · 91%

Distance

47% acc · 69%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

90% acc · 6%

Ground

68% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Angel Pacheco rounds

even

Caolan Loughran rounds

Round 1Angel Pacheco edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Caolan Loughran edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:09

51Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:19Control

Round 3Caolan Loughran edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

54Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

88 / 234

Sig Strikes

140 / 268

38.7%

Sig Str %

52%

95 / 241

Total Strikes

148 / 286

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 4

—

TD %

83%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

4:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Caolan Loughran	35 / 89	35 / 89	0 / 0
1	Angel Pacheco	46 / 129	46 / 129	0 / 0
2	Caolan Loughran	51 / 89	59 / 107	1 / 1
2	Angel Pacheco	17 / 38	21 / 42	0 / 0
3	Caolan Loughran	54 / 90	54 / 90	2 / 3
3	Angel Pacheco	25 / 67	28 / 70	0 / 0

Angel Pacheco

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights2

Caolan Loughran

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4