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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ange Loosa won · U-DEC R3
Elo1484
Elo1489

Ange LoosavsRhys McKeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Saturday, September 2, 2023Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Ange Loosa won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAnge Loosa: WrestlervsRhys McKee: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ange Loosa wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Ange Loosa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ange Loosa at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ange Loosa has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Rhys McKee has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ange Loosa
Red Corner
VS
Rhys McKee
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+114
(47%)
1484
Elo
1489
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ange LoosaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Mounir Lazzez · Apr 22
W
vs AJ Fletcher · Aug 22
L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 24
L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Jun 25
latest
Rhys McKee
oldest →
L
KOvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20
L
vs Alex Morono · Nov 20
L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 24
W
KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25
L
KOvs Axel Sola · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ange LoosaMetricRhys McKee
5.46
Strikes / min
4.71
6.59
Strikes absorbed / min
7.15
52%
Strike defense
47%
2.53
TDs / 15 min
0.00
83%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.13Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-2.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1467Strikes5.6 vs 4.8Takedowns2.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs -1.0
Ange LoosaRhys McKee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ange Loosa(5 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.0|Blue +5.0
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -644.0|Blue +644.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ange LoosaTargetRhys McKee

By target zone

71
49% acc · 72%
Head
48
33% acc · 62%
19
66% acc · 19%
Body
19
76% acc · 25%
8
89% acc · 8%
Leg
10
77% acc · 13%

By position

45
44% acc · 46%
Distance
70
41% acc · 91%
32
63% acc · 33%
Clinch
5
63% acc · 6%
21
75% acc · 21%
Ground
2
67% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Ange Loosa rounds
0
even
1
Rhys McKee rounds
Round 1Ange Loosa edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control0:56
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Ange Loosa edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns3
Control2:44
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rhys McKee edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control2:27
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
98 / 182
Sig Strikes
77 / 183
50.3%
Sig Str %
42%
124 / 220
Total Strikes
90 / 198
6 / 10
TDs
0 / 0
63.3%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:07
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Rhys McKee29 / 7830 / 790 / 00
1Ange Loosa32 / 7134 / 741 / 20
2Rhys McKee16 / 3817 / 410 / 00
2Ange Loosa54 / 8266 / 1023 / 30
3Rhys McKee32 / 6743 / 780 / 00
3Ange Loosa12 / 2924 / 442 / 50

Ange Loosa

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5

Rhys McKee

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6