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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Maximo Blanco won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1358

Andy OglevsMaximo BlancoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · Saturday, May 31, 2014Berlin, Germany

Official fight result

Maximo Blanco won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Maximo Blanco wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Maximo Blanco wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Maximo Blanco at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andy Ogle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Maximo Blanco has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Andy Ogle

Red Corner

Maximo Blanco

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1354

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andy OgleL3 streak

oldest →

vs Akira Corassani · Sep 12

vs Josh Grispi · Feb 13

vs Cole Miller · Oct 13

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 14

KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jan 15

latest

Maximo BlancoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Felipe Arantes · Feb 14

vs Dan Hooker · Sep 14

KOvs Mike de la Torre · Jul 15

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Jan 16

SUBvs Chas Skelly · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andy OgleMetricMaximo Blanco

2.24

Strikes / min

4.11

2.23

Strikes absorbed / min

3.19

50%

Strike defense

66%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

1.85

58%

Takedown defense

63%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01evenly matched on net striking+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andy OgleMaximo Blanco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andy Ogle(6 fights)Maximo Blanco(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.8|Blue +3.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andy OgleTargetMaximo Blanco

By target zone

27% acc · 52%

Head

46% acc · 78%

63% acc · 34%

Body

78% acc · 12%

86% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

36% acc · 91%

Distance

49% acc · 90%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andy Ogle rounds

even

Maximo Blanco rounds

Round 1Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:07

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Andy Ogle edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control3:39

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

Round 3Maximo Blanco edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 116

Sig Strikes

60 / 117

49.7%

Sig Str %

59%

78 / 150

Total Strikes

117 / 184

1 / 5

TDs

1 / 2

11%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:46

Ctrl Time

2:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Maximo Blanco	17 / 32	46 / 68	1 / 1
1	Andy Ogle	11 / 35	17 / 41	1 / 3
2	Maximo Blanco	3 / 4	31 / 34	0 / 1
2	Andy Ogle	4 / 5	32 / 33	0 / 1
3	Maximo Blanco	40 / 81	40 / 82	0 / 0
3	Andy Ogle	29 / 76	29 / 76	0 / 1

Andy Ogle

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Maximo Blanco

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9