Featherweight

3 Rounds

Akira Corassani won · S-DEC R3

Elo1354

Andy OglevsAkira CorassaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · Saturday, September 29, 2012Nottingham, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Akira Corassani won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Akira Corassani wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Akira Corassani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Akira Corassani at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Akira Corassani has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Andy Ogle

Red Corner

Akira Corassani

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1354

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andy OgleL4 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Grispi · Feb 13

vs Cole Miller · Oct 13

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 14

vs Maximo Blanco · May 14

KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jan 15

latest

Akira CorassaniL3 streak

oldest →

vs Robert Peralta · Apr 13

vs Maximo Blanco · Nov 13

KOvs Dustin Poirier · Apr 14

KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 14

KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andy OgleMetricAkira Corassani

2.24

Strikes / min

3.25

2.23

Strikes absorbed / min

4.91

50%

Strike defense

50%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

0.70

58%

Takedown defense

86%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-1.66

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andy Ogle(6 fights)Akira Corassani(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andy OgleTargetAkira Corassani

By target zone

44% acc · 69%

Head

38% acc · 64%

53% acc · 15%

Body

92% acc · 27%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

40% acc · 63%

Distance

46% acc · 91%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

89% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andy Ogle rounds

even

Akira Corassani rounds

Round 1Andy Ogle edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:40

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Andy Ogle edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:37

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Andy Ogle edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control3:30

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 105

Sig Strikes

45 / 93

53%

Sig Str %

51.7%

102 / 156

Total Strikes

51 / 99

1 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

8.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:47

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Akira Corassani	16 / 34	19 / 37	0 / 0
1	Andy Ogle	14 / 39	26 / 51	0 / 3
2	Akira Corassani	20 / 45	23 / 48	0 / 0
2	Andy Ogle	19 / 42	21 / 45	1 / 4
3	Akira Corassani	9 / 14	9 / 14	0 / 0
3	Andy Ogle	19 / 24	55 / 60	0 / 4

Andy Ogle

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Akira Corassani

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6