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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Andrew Sanchez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1410
Elo1484
Wellington Turman editorial illustration

Andrew SanchezvsWellington TurmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Saturday, August 8, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andrew Sanchez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:14

Model Prediction: Andrew Sanchez wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Andrew Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andrew Sanchez at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andrew Sanchez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Andrew Sanchez has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Andrew Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Wellington Turman
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
1410
Elo
1484
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrew SanchezL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Markus Perez · Aug 18
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 19
L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 19
L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Jan 21
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Oct 21
latest
Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21
W
SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22
L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22
L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrew SanchezMetricWellington Turman
4.30
Strikes / min
3.23
5.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
50%
Strike defense
45%
2.55
TDs / 15 min
1.55
100%
Takedown defense
42%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.94

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1512 vs 1501Strikes4.5 vs 2.4Takedowns2.3 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form-0.1 vs 0.2
Andrew SanchezWellington Turman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Andrew Sanchez(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -74.5|Blue +74.5
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrew SanchezTargetWellington Turman

By target zone

23
48% acc · 82%
Head
16
40% acc · 76%
4
67% acc · 14%
Body
1
14% acc · 5%
1
100% acc · 4%
Leg
4
100% acc · 19%

By position

26
49% acc · 93%
Distance
21
41% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
2
100% acc · 7%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Andrew Sanchez rounds
0
even
0
Wellington Turman rounds
Round 1Andrew Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:11
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
28 / 55
Sig Strikes
21 / 51
50%
Sig Str %
41%
40 / 68
Total Strikes
26 / 56
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:11
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Wellington Turman21 / 5126 / 560 / 10
1Andrew Sanchez28 / 5540 / 680 / 10

Andrew Sanchez

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10

Wellington Turman

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9