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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andrew Sanchez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1410

Elo1395

Andrew SanchezvsMarkus PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · Saturday, August 25, 2018Lincoln, Nebraska, USA

Official fight result

Andrew Sanchez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndrew Sanchez: WrestlervsMarkus Perez: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Andrew Sanchez wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Andrew Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andrew Sanchez at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Markus Perez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andrew Sanchez has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Andrew Sanchez

Red Corner

Markus Perez

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1410

Elo

1395

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrew SanchezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 19

vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 19

KOvs Wellington Turman · Aug 20

KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Jan 21

KOvs Bruno Silva · Oct 21

latest

Markus PerezL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Bochnovic · May 18

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 19

vs Wellington Turman · Nov 19

KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Oct 20

vs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jan 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrew SanchezMetricMarkus Perez

4.30

Strikes / min

2.60

5.10

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

50%

Strike defense

52%

2.55

TDs / 15 min

0.81

100%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80evenly matched on net striking-1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrew SanchezMarkus Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrew Sanchez(10 fights)Markus Perez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.3|Blue -15.3

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +162.0|Blue -162.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrew SanchezTargetMarkus Perez

By target zone

37% acc · 60%

Head

28% acc · 41%

78% acc · 29%

Body

76% acc · 54%

62% acc · 11%

Leg

60% acc · 6%

By position

45% acc · 89%

Distance

39% acc · 76%

53% acc · 11%

Clinch

72% acc · 24%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrew Sanchez rounds

even

Markus Perez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control2:39

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control1:32

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control1:30

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 159

Sig Strikes

54 / 122

41.7%

Sig Str %

45%

119 / 215

Total Strikes

67 / 137

0 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:41

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Markus Perez	14 / 26	18 / 32	0 / 0
1	Andrew Sanchez	8 / 27	24 / 49	0 / 4
2	Markus Perez	17 / 42	22 / 47	0 / 0
2	Andrew Sanchez	24 / 58	41 / 78	0 / 0
3	Markus Perez	23 / 54	27 / 58	0 / 1
3	Andrew Sanchez	41 / 74	54 / 88	0 / 2

Andrew Sanchez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Markus Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7