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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Andrew Sanchez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1410

Elo1502

Andrew SanchezvsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Friday, July 8, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andrew Sanchez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndrew Sanchez: WrestlervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Andrew Sanchez wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Andrew Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andrew Sanchez at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Andrew Sanchez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Andrew Sanchez has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Andrew Sanchez

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1410

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrew SanchezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 19

vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 19

KOvs Wellington Turman · Aug 20

KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Jan 21

KOvs Bruno Silva · Oct 21

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrew SanchezMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

4.30

Strikes / min

3.88

5.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

50%

Strike defense

49%

2.55

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.45

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrew Sanchez(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -92.6|Blue +92.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrew SanchezTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

70% acc · 74%

Head

52% acc · 93%

71% acc · 16%

Body

50% acc · 7%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

By position

56% acc · 32%

Distance

28% acc · 36%

Clinch

100% acc · 21%

84% acc · 68%

Ground

100% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrew Sanchez rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns4

Control3:31

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control4:17

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control4:15

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 43

Sig Strikes

14 / 27

69.3%

Sig Str %

57%

118 / 159

Total Strikes

58 / 76

6 / 12

TDs

0 / 0

44%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

12:03

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	4 / 12	13 / 22	0 / 0
1	Andrew Sanchez	6 / 14	18 / 31	4 / 6
2	Khalil Rountree Jr.	5 / 9	24 / 31	0 / 0
2	Andrew Sanchez	17 / 18	57 / 72	1 / 3
3	Khalil Rountree Jr.	5 / 6	21 / 23	0 / 0
3	Andrew Sanchez	8 / 11	43 / 56	1 / 3

Andrew Sanchez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17