← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1410

Elo1453

Andrew SanchezvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Saturday, October 16, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:35

Style matchupAndrew Sanchez: WrestlervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Andrew Sanchez wins(59.1%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andrew Sanchez at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bruno Silva is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Andrew Sanchez has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Andrew Sanchez has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Andrew Sanchez

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1410

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrew Sanchez

oldest →

vs Markus Perez · Aug 18

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 19

vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 19

KOvs Wellington Turman · Aug 20

KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Jan 21

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrew SanchezMetricBruno Silva

4.30

Strikes / min

3.86

5.10

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

50%

Strike defense

41%

2.55

TDs / 15 min

0.77

100%

Takedown defense

74%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.80evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrew SanchezBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrew Sanchez(10 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -43.3|Blue +43.3

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrew SanchezTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

60% acc · 79%

Head

49% acc · 67%

67% acc · 18%

Body

88% acc · 30%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

67% acc · 3%

By position

57% acc · 79%

Distance

54% acc · 79%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

83% acc · 14%

100% acc · 15%

Ground

56% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrew Sanchez rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control3:25

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Andrew Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns6

Control4:28

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 53

Sig Strikes

70 / 123

58.7%

Sig Str %

47.3%

86 / 117

Total Strikes

100 / 155

7 / 12

TDs

0 / 1

44.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:53

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bruno Silva	8 / 23	28 / 43	0 / 1
1	Andrew Sanchez	4 / 7	25 / 34	1 / 3
2	Bruno Silva	7 / 16	17 / 28	0 / 0
2	Andrew Sanchez	7 / 13	35 / 46	6 / 6
3	Bruno Silva	55 / 84	55 / 84	0 / 0
3	Andrew Sanchez	22 / 33	26 / 37	0 / 3

Andrew Sanchez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23