← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Andrei Arlovski won · U-DEC

Elo1492

Elo1484

Andrei ArlovskivsTanner BoserUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · Saturday, November 7, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andrei Arlovski won

U-DEC

Style matchupAndrei Arlovski: StrikervsTanner Boser: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Tanner Boser wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Andrei Arlovski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tanner Boser at -305 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Andrei Arlovski

Red Corner

Tanner Boser

Blue Corner

+235

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-305

(75%)

1492

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak

oldest →

vs Jake Collier · Apr 22

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22

KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23

vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24

vs Martin Buday · Jun 24

latest

Tanner Boser

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23

vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23

KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrei ArlovskiMetricTanner Boser

3.82

Strikes / min

4.82

3.22

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

57%

Strike defense

57%

0.37

TDs / 15 min

0.00

76%

Takedown defense

69%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.60Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrei ArlovskiTanner Boser

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Tanner Boser(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.0|Blue -8.0

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +73.0|Blue -73.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrei ArlovskiTargetTanner Boser

By target zone

30% acc · 47%

Head

28% acc · 24%

46% acc · 18%

Body

67% acc · 9%

75% acc · 35%

Leg

88% acc · 68%

By position

41% acc · 97%

Distance

58% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrei Arlovski rounds

even

Tanner Boser rounds

Round 1Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 82

Sig Strikes

68 / 119

40%

Sig Str %

58%

34 / 82

Total Strikes

68 / 119

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tanner Boser	16 / 25	16 / 25	0 / 0
1	Andrei Arlovski	6 / 16	6 / 16	0 / 0
2	Tanner Boser	23 / 39	23 / 39	0 / 0
2	Andrei Arlovski	13 / 31	13 / 31	0 / 0
3	Tanner Boser	29 / 55	29 / 55	0 / 0
3	Andrei Arlovski	15 / 35	15 / 35	0 / 0

Andrei Arlovski

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights27

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10