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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Miranda Maverick won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1513

Andrea LeevsMiranda MaverickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Saturday, February 17, 2024Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Miranda Maverick won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndrea Lee: Pressure fightervsMiranda Maverick: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Miranda Maverick wins(59.3%)

Actual result: Miranda Maverick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Miranda Maverick (53.5%).
Andrea Lee has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andrea Lee

Red Corner

Miranda Maverick

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1477

Elo

1513

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'3"

175.26 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andrea LeeL5 streak

oldest →

vs Viviane Araujo · May 22

vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23

vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25

latest

Miranda Maverick

oldest →

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jun 23

SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jul 23

vs Dione Barbosa · Jul 24

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andrea LeeMetricMiranda Maverick

4.62

Strikes / min

3.22

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

2.25

61%

Strike defense

61%

1.65

TDs / 15 min

2.16

53%

Takedown defense

45%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.71evenly matched on net striking+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andrea LeeMiranda Maverick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andrea Lee(10 fights)Miranda Maverick(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -36.0|Blue +36.0

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andrea LeeTargetMiranda Maverick

By target zone

19% acc · 39%

Head

31% acc · 42%

68% acc · 36%

Body

64% acc · 24%

82% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

33% acc · 89%

Distance

47% acc · 91%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

75% acc · 9%

33% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andrea Lee rounds

even

Miranda Maverick rounds

Round 1Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control0:40

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:02

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:32Control

Round 3Miranda Maverick edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 102

Sig Strikes

66 / 136

34.7%

Sig Str %

48%

59 / 126

Total Strikes

106 / 180

2 / 3

TDs

3 / 8

50%

TD %

38.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

3:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miranda Maverick	24 / 43	31 / 51	1 / 2	0
1	Andrea Lee	12 / 31	14 / 33	2 / 2	0
2	Miranda Maverick	23 / 48	47 / 74	1 / 3	0
2	Andrea Lee	9 / 34	14 / 39	0 / 1	0
3	Miranda Maverick	19 / 45	28 / 55	1 / 3	0
3	Andrea Lee	15 / 37	31 / 54	0 / 0	1

Andrea Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14

Miranda Maverick

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13