Skip to content
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Andre Soukhamthath won · U-DEC R3
Elo1376
Andre Soukhamthath
Elo1504

Andre SoukhamthathvsJonathan MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Andre Soukhamthath won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Soukhamthath: Well-roundedvsJonathan Martinez: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Andre Soukhamthath wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Andre Soukhamthath wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Soukhamthath at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Soukhamthath enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Soukhamthath
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Martinez
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1376
Elo
1504
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre SoukhamthathL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Aug 17
W
KOvs Luke Sanders · Dec 17
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 18
L
vs Montel Jackson · Apr 19
L
vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19
latest
Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22
W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23
W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23
L
vs Jose Aldo · May 24
L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre SoukhamthathMetricJonathan Martinez
2.77
Strikes / min
4.44
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
49%
Strike defense
56%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.38
58%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.54Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1472 vs 1500Strikes33.5 vs Takedowns1.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-0.4 vs 0.0
Andre SoukhamthathJonathan Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -128.4|Blue +128.4
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -47.9|Blue +47.9
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre SoukhamthathTargetJonathan Martinez

By target zone

29
34% acc · 37%
Head
36
54% acc · 51%
42
93% acc · 53%
Body
27
82% acc · 38%
8
100% acc · 10%
Leg
8
73% acc · 11%

By position

30
41% acc · 38%
Distance
24
41% acc · 34%
45
75% acc · 57%
Clinch
18
95% acc · 25%
4
80% acc · 5%
Ground
29
88% acc · 41%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Andre Soukhamthath rounds
0
even
1
Jonathan Martinez rounds
Round 1Andre Soukhamthath edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control1:52
Knockdowns2
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jonathan Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:49
43Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:17Control
Round 3Andre Soukhamthath edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control1:46
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
79 / 138
Sig Strikes
71 / 111
58%
Sig Str %
62.3%
98 / 157
Total Strikes
88 / 128
3 / 3
TDs
1 / 2
100%
TD %
50%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:27
Ctrl Time
5:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jonathan Martinez17 / 3918 / 400 / 00
1Andre Soukhamthath33 / 5947 / 730 / 00
2Jonathan Martinez43 / 5649 / 621 / 20
2Andre Soukhamthath34 / 6036 / 620 / 00
3Jonathan Martinez11 / 1621 / 260 / 00
3Andre Soukhamthath12 / 1915 / 223 / 31

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15