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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michel Pereira won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1485
Andre Petroski
Elo1492
Michel Pereira editorial illustration

Andre PetroskivsMichel PereiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Michel Pereira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:06

Style matchupAndre Petroski: WrestlervsMichel Pereira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Michel Pereira wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Michel Pereira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Petroski
Red Corner
VS
Michel Pereira
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1485
Elo
1492
35
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre PetroskiL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24
W
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25
L
vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25
L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25
L
KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26
latest
Michel Pereira
oldest →
L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24
L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25
L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25
W
vs Zach Reese · Feb 26
L
DECvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre PetroskiMetricMichel Pereira
2.81
Strikes / min
4.46
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
53%
Strike defense
51%
3.15
TDs / 15 min
1.21
86%
Takedown defense
75%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1585 vs 1577Strikes3.0 vs 5.2Takedowns4.1 vs 1.5Sub Atts2.00 vs 0.80Form1.0 vs 1.0
Andre PetroskiMichel Pereira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Andre Petroski(10 fights)Michel Pereira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -7.2|Blue +7.2
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -455.0|Blue +455.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre PetroskiTargetMichel Pereira

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
5
29% acc · 83%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 17%
0
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
2
33% acc · 33%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
33% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Andre Petroski rounds
0
even
1
Michel Pereira rounds
Round 1Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
0 / 1
Sig Strikes
6 / 18
0%
Sig Str %
33%
0 / 1
Total Strikes
6 / 18
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michel Pereira6 / 186 / 180 / 00
1Andre Petroski0 / 10 / 10 / 00

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12

Michel Pereira

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16