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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Petroski won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1485

Elo1418

Andre PetroskivsMicheal GillmoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Petroski won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:12

Model Prediction: Andre Petroski wins(83.4%)

Actual result: Andre Petroski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Petroski at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Petroski has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Andre Petroski has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Petroski

Red Corner

Micheal Gillmore

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+400

(20%)

1485

Elo

1418

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre PetroskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25

vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25

KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26

latest

Micheal Gillmore

oldest →

SUBvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre PetroskiMetricMicheal Gillmore

2.81

Strikes / min

2.04

2.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

53%

Strike defense

43%

3.15

TDs / 15 min

0.00

86%

Takedown defense

50%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre PetroskiMicheal Gillmore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Petroski(10 fights)Micheal Gillmore(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +66.4|Blue -66.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre PetroskiTargetMicheal Gillmore

By target zone

52% acc · 78%

Head

41% acc · 45%

91% acc · 22%

Body

100% acc · 13%

Leg

93% acc · 42%

By position

40% acc · 37%

Distance

57% acc · 90%

Clinch

76% acc · 63%

Ground

100% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Petroski rounds

even

Micheal Gillmore rounds

Round 1Andre Petroski edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control3:54

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:51

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 3Andre Petroski edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control2:53

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 80

Sig Strikes

31 / 52

58.7%

Sig Str %

75.7%

91 / 131

Total Strikes

38 / 59

4 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

44.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:38

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Micheal Gillmore	5 / 7	9 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Andre Petroski	10 / 22	24 / 37	2 / 4	1
2	Micheal Gillmore	25 / 44	28 / 47	0 / 0	0
2	Andre Petroski	19 / 37	20 / 38	1 / 3	0
3	Micheal Gillmore	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
3	Andre Petroski	17 / 21	47 / 56	1 / 2	0

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12

Micheal Gillmore

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2