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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jacob Malkoun won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1485

Elo1529

Andre PetroskivsJacob MalkounUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Jacob Malkoun won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:39

Style matchupAndre Petroski: WrestlervsJacob Malkoun: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Jacob Malkoun wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Petroski has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Petroski

Red Corner

Jacob Malkoun

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1485

Elo

1529

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre PetroskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25

vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25

KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26

latest

Jacob MalkounW2 streak

oldest →

vs Brendan Allen · Jun 22

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23

vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre PetroskiMetricJacob Malkoun

2.81

Strikes / min

4.23

2.79

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

53%

Strike defense

55%

3.15

TDs / 15 min

5.39

86%

Takedown defense

55%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.02Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap+1.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre PetroskiJacob Malkoun

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Petroski(10 fights)Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -44.1|Blue +44.1

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre PetroskiTargetJacob Malkoun

By target zone

18% acc · 46%

Head

44% acc · 80%

100% acc · 15%

Body

100% acc · 20%

83% acc · 38%

Leg

By position

29% acc · 92%

Distance

49% acc · 85%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

75% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Petroski rounds

even

Jacob Malkoun rounds

Round 1Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:13

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 42

Sig Strikes

20 / 40

31.5%

Sig Str %

54%

13 / 43

Total Strikes

21 / 41

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

0:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jacob Malkoun	15 / 32	16 / 33	0 / 2
1	Andre Petroski	10 / 33	10 / 34	1 / 1
2	Jacob Malkoun	5 / 8	5 / 8	0 / 1
2	Andre Petroski	3 / 9	3 / 9	0 / 1

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8