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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Muniz won · SUB R1

Elo1485

Elo1512

Andre MunizvsEryk AndersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Saturday, December 11, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Muniz won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:13

Style matchupAndre Muniz: WrestlervsEryk Anders: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Andre Muniz wins(71.9%)

Actual result: Andre Muniz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Muniz at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eryk Anders is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Andre Muniz has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Eryk Anders has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Muniz

Red Corner

Eryk Anders

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1485

Elo

1512

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre MunizL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23

KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23

vs JunYong Park · Dec 23

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25

latest

Eryk Anders

oldest →

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre MunizMetricEryk Anders

2.08

Strikes / min

3.44

2.46

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

51%

Strike defense

50%

3.98

TDs / 15 min

1.83

35%

Takedown defense

80%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.38evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre MunizEryk Anders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Muniz(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -27.2|Blue +27.2

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre MunizTargetEryk Anders

By target zone

43% acc · 75%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 13%

Body

60% acc · 100%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

42% acc · 63%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

100% acc · 25%

Clinch

0% acc

50% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Muniz rounds

even

Eryk Anders rounds

Round 1Andre Muniz edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:18

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 16

Sig Strikes

3 / 13

50%

Sig Str %

23%

12 / 20

Total Strikes

3 / 13

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

40%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Eryk Anders	3 / 13	3 / 13	0 / 1	0
1	Andre Muniz	8 / 16	12 / 20	2 / 5	2

Andre Muniz

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19