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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fili won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1479
Andre Fili
Elo1374
Sheymon Moraes

Andre FilivsSheymon MoraesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · Saturday, July 13, 2019Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:07

Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsSheymon Moraes: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Andre Fili wins(71.2%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Fili at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sheymon Moraes has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Andre Fili has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fili
Red Corner
VS
Sheymon Moraes
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1479
Elo
1374
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest
Sheymon Moraes
oldest →
L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Nov 17
W
vs Matt Sayles · Aug 18
W
vs Julio Arce · Nov 18
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FiliMetricSheymon Moraes
3.88
Strikes / min
3.00
4.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
50%
Strike defense
63%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
0.00
71%
Takedown defense
53%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1503Strikes4.0 vs 3.0Takedowns2.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs -0.0
Andre FiliSheymon Moraes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Andre Fili(10 fights)Sheymon Moraes(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +104.9|Blue -104.9
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FiliTargetSheymon Moraes

By target zone

16
32% acc · 84%
Head
2
18% acc · 18%
2
50% acc · 11%
Body
3
60% acc · 27%
1
100% acc · 5%
Leg
6
100% acc · 55%

By position

15
30% acc · 79%
Distance
11
50% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
4
80% acc · 21%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Andre Fili rounds
0
even
0
Sheymon Moraes rounds
Round 1Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
19 / 55
Sig Strikes
11 / 22
34%
Sig Str %
50%
20 / 58
Total Strikes
11 / 22
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sheymon Moraes11 / 2211 / 220 / 00
1Andre Fili19 / 5520 / 580 / 00

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26

Sheymon Moraes

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5