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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jose Delgado won · S-DEC R3

Elo1479

Elo1559

Andre FilivsJose DelgadoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Saturday, March 14, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jose Delgado won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsJose Delgado: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jose Delgado wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Jose Delgado wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Delgado at -480 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jose Delgado (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fili

Red Corner

Jose Delgado

Blue Corner

+370

(21%)

Vegas Odds

-480

(83%)

1479

Elo

1559

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre Fili

oldest →

KOvs Dan Ige · Feb 24

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Jose Delgado

oldest →

KOvs Connor Matthews · Feb 25

KOvs Hyder Amil · Jun 25

vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 25

DECvs Austin Bashi · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FiliMetricJose Delgado

3.88

Strikes / min

7.48

4.34

Strikes absorbed / min

4.95

50%

Strike defense

50%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

1.51

71%

Takedown defense

50%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.46Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap+2.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre FiliJose Delgado

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Fili(10 fights)Jose Delgado(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -79.5|Blue +79.5

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FiliTargetJose Delgado

By target zone

38% acc · 74%

Head

37% acc · 39%

85% acc · 18%

Body

72% acc · 36%

71% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

44% acc · 98%

Distance

54% acc · 88%

Clinch

64% acc · 10%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Fili rounds

even

Jose Delgado rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:23

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jose Delgado edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:11

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Jose Delgado edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns2

Control0:25

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

62 / 141

Sig Strikes

94 / 169

44.3%

Sig Str %

55%

70 / 154

Total Strikes

103 / 179

4 / 6

TDs

1 / 3

83.3%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:59

Ctrl Time

0:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jose Delgado	23 / 46	26 / 49	0 / 1
1	Andre Fili	19 / 39	19 / 39	1 / 1
2	Jose Delgado	30 / 62	34 / 66	1 / 2
2	Andre Fili	18 / 39	19 / 41	1 / 1
3	Jose Delgado	41 / 61	43 / 64	0 / 0
3	Andre Fili	25 / 63	32 / 74	2 / 4

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26

Jose Delgado

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5