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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fili won · S-DEC R3
Elo1479
Andre Fili
Elo1529

Andre FilivsCharles JourdainUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · Saturday, June 13, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsCharles Jourdain: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Andre Fili wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Fili at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Andre Fili has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Charles Jourdain (52.9%).
  • Andre Fili has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fili
Red Corner
VS
Charles Jourdain
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
1479
Elo
1529
36
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest
Charles JourdainW3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24
L
KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24
W
SUBvs Victor Henry · Nov 24
W
SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25
W
DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FiliMetricCharles Jourdain
3.88
Strikes / min
5.36
4.34
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
50%
Strike defense
56%
2.32
TDs / 15 min
0.38
71%
Takedown defense
46%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1534 vs 1500Strikes4.0 vs 4.8Takedowns2.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.0 vs 0.3
Andre FiliCharles Jourdain

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601480150015201540← oldermost recent →
Andre Fili(10 fights)Charles Jourdain(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -50.1|Blue +50.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FiliTargetCharles Jourdain

By target zone

36
23% acc · 82%
Head
26
31% acc · 42%
5
50% acc · 11%
Body
15
47% acc · 24%
3
75% acc · 7%
Leg
21
100% acc · 34%

By position

42
25% acc · 95%
Distance
61
46% acc · 98%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0% acc
2
40% acc · 5%
Ground
1
33% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Andre Fili rounds
0
even
2
Charles Jourdain rounds
Round 1Charles Jourdain edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:08
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Charles Jourdain edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:15
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns3
Control1:23
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
44 / 171
Sig Strikes
62 / 138
26%
Sig Str %
44%
52 / 183
Total Strikes
65 / 142
5 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
91.7%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:46
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Charles Jourdain16 / 4516 / 450 / 00
1Andre Fili14 / 4420 / 511 / 10
2Charles Jourdain28 / 5330 / 560 / 00
2Andre Fili17 / 6217 / 621 / 10
3Charles Jourdain18 / 4019 / 410 / 00
3Andre Fili13 / 6515 / 703 / 40

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15