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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Calvin Kattar won · U-DEC R3

Elo1479

Elo1474

Andre FilivsCalvin KattarUFC Prediction Result

UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · Saturday, July 29, 2017Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Calvin Kattar won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsCalvin Kattar: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Andre Fili wins(67.0%)

Actual result: Calvin Kattar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Fili at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fili

Red Corner

Calvin Kattar

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1479

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Calvin KattarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Emmett · Jun 22

KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24

vs Youssef Zalal · Feb 25

vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FiliMetricCalvin Kattar

3.88

Strikes / min

4.41

4.34

Strikes absorbed / min

6.55

50%

Strike defense

54%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

0.34

71%

Takedown defense

77%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.46Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-2.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre FiliCalvin Kattar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Fili(10 fights)Calvin Kattar(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.7|Blue -5.7

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -47.7|Blue +47.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FiliTargetCalvin Kattar

By target zone

29% acc · 70%

Head

40% acc · 73%

64% acc · 12%

Body

80% acc · 11%

87% acc · 18%

Leg

92% acc · 16%

By position

36% acc · 96%

Distance

46% acc · 88%

33% acc · 4%

Clinch

20% acc · 1%

Ground

67% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Fili rounds

even

Calvin Kattar rounds

Round 1Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Calvin Kattar edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 202

Sig Strikes

75 / 160

35.7%

Sig Str %

47.3%

75 / 205

Total Strikes

80 / 166

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 3

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Calvin Kattar	26 / 46	29 / 50	1 / 2
1	Andre Fili	25 / 71	26 / 73	0 / 2
2	Calvin Kattar	26 / 67	26 / 67	0 / 0
2	Andre Fili	24 / 65	25 / 66	0 / 0
3	Calvin Kattar	23 / 47	25 / 49	1 / 1
3	Andre Fili	24 / 66	24 / 66	0 / 0

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26

Calvin Kattar

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15