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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Andre Fili won · S-DEC R3

Elo1479

Elo1498

Andre FilivsBill AlgeoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Fili: WrestlervsBill Algeo: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Bill Algeo wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bill Algeo at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fili

Red Corner

Bill Algeo

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1479

Elo

1498

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Bill AlgeoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Herbert Burns · Jul 22

SUBvs TJ Brown · Apr 23

vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23

KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24

KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FiliMetricBill Algeo

3.88

Strikes / min

5.88

4.34

Strikes absorbed / min

4.38

50%

Strike defense

47%

2.32

TDs / 15 min

1.03

71%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.46Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre FiliBill Algeo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Fili(10 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.4|Blue +18.4

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FiliTargetBill Algeo

By target zone

38% acc · 81%

Head

34% acc · 47%

60% acc · 10%

Body

63% acc · 21%

71% acc · 8%

Leg

87% acc · 32%

By position

42% acc · 100%

Distance

48% acc · 99%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Fili rounds

even

Bill Algeo rounds

Round 1Bill Algeo edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:18

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Bill Algeo edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:11

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Andre Fili edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:49

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 142

Sig Strikes

81 / 170

41.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

67 / 151

Total Strikes

151 / 246

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

33.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:18

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bill Algeo	30 / 61	31 / 63	0 / 1	0
1	Andre Fili	19 / 56	19 / 56	0 / 1	0
2	Bill Algeo	41 / 86	46 / 91	0 / 2	0
2	Andre Fili	32 / 68	32 / 68	0 / 1	0
3	Bill Algeo	10 / 23	74 / 92	0 / 0	0
3	Andre Fili	8 / 18	16 / 27	1 / 1	2

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26

Bill Algeo

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10