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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Muslim Salikhov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1473

Elo1507

Andre FialhovsMuslim SalikhovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Saturday, November 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Muslim Salikhov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:03

Style matchupAndre Fialho: StrikervsMuslim Salikhov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Muslim Salikhov wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Muslim Salikhov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Muslim Salikhov at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fialho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Fialho is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Muslim Salikhov has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Andre Fialho has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Muslim Salikhov has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Andre Fialho has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fialho

Red Corner

Muslim Salikhov

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1473

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FialhoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Miguel Baeza · Apr 22

KOvs Cameron VanCamp · May 22

KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · May 23

KOvs Tim Means · Sep 23

latest

Muslim Salikhov

oldest →

KOvs Randy Brown · Feb 24

vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jul 24

KOvs Song Kenan · Nov 24

KOvs Carlos Leal · Jul 25

KOvs Uros Medic · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FialhoMetricMuslim Salikhov

3.30

Strikes / min

3.37

6.26

Strikes absorbed / min

2.96

45%

Strike defense

62%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

1.07

66%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.96Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre FialhoMuslim Salikhov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Fialho(7 fights)Muslim Salikhov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -34.6|Blue +34.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FialhoTargetMuslim Salikhov

By target zone

18% acc · 59%

Head

54% acc · 68%

67% acc · 24%

Body

67% acc · 25%

60% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

23% acc · 82%

Distance

58% acc · 63%

50% acc · 18%

Clinch

38% acc · 5%

Ground

67% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Fialho rounds

even

Muslim Salikhov rounds

Round 1Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:20

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 2Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:48Control

Round 3Muslim Salikhov edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 66

Sig Strikes

56 / 95

21.7%

Sig Str %

54.7%

29 / 80

Total Strikes

77 / 123

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

3:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Muslim Salikhov	11 / 22	19 / 35	1 / 3
1	Andre Fialho	11 / 38	20 / 49	0 / 0
2	Muslim Salikhov	37 / 57	50 / 72	0 / 0
2	Andre Fialho	5 / 18	7 / 20	0 / 0
3	Muslim Salikhov	8 / 16	8 / 16	0 / 0
3	Andre Fialho	1 / 10	2 / 11	0 / 0

Andre Fialho

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7

Muslim Salikhov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14