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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fialho won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1473
Andre Fialho
Elo1435

Andre FialhovsCameron VanCampUFC Prediction Result

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Saturday, May 7, 2022Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fialho won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:35

Style matchupAndre Fialho: StrikervsCameron VanCamp: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Cameron VanCamp wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Andre Fialho wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cameron VanCamp at +350 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Fialho enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Andre Fialho is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cameron VanCamp has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Andre Fialho has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cameron VanCamp (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Andre Fialho
Red Corner
VS
Cameron VanCamp
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+350
(22%)
1473
Elo
1435
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre FialhoL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Miguel Baeza · Apr 22
L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22
L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 22
L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · May 23
L
KOvs Tim Means · Sep 23
latest
Cameron VanCamp
oldest →
L
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Sep 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre FialhoMetricCameron VanCamp
3.30
Strikes / min
5.31
6.26
Strikes absorbed / min
6.41
45%
Strike defense
40%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.96Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1504 vs 1500Strikes3.3 vs 5.3Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 0.0
Andre FialhoCameron VanCamp

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Andre Fialho(7 fights)Cameron VanCamp(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +38.2|Blue -38.2
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre FialhoTargetCameron VanCamp

By target zone

12
63% acc · 71%
Head
9
47% acc · 47%
2
100% acc · 12%
Body
4
67% acc · 21%
3
100% acc · 18%
Leg
6
100% acc · 32%

By position

16
70% acc · 94%
Distance
19
61% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
100% acc · 6%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Andre Fialho rounds
0
even
0
Cameron VanCamp rounds
Round 1Andre Fialho edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
17 / 24
Sig Strikes
19 / 31
70%
Sig Str %
61%
17 / 24
Total Strikes
19 / 31
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cameron VanCamp19 / 3119 / 310 / 00
1Andre Fialho17 / 2417 / 240 / 00

Andre Fialho

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7

Cameron VanCamp

StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2