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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Andre Ewell won · S-DEC R3
Elo1414
Andre Ewell
Elo1504

Andre EwellvsJonathan MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Saturday, February 8, 2020Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Andre Ewell won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Ewell: Pressure fightervsJonathan Martinez: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Andre Ewell wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Andre Ewell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Ewell at -133 American odds

+$75 profit

$175 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Ewell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Andre Ewell has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Ewell
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Martinez
Blue Corner
-133
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+113
(47%)
1414
Elo
1504
38
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre EwellL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Oct 19
W
vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21
L
KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21
L
vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21
latest
Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22
W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23
W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23
L
vs Jose Aldo · May 24
L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre EwellMetricJonathan Martinez
4.28
Strikes / min
4.44
4.87
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
51%
Strike defense
56%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.38
72%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1503 vs 1516Strikes3.3 vs 3.4Takedowns0.3 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs 0.5
Andre EwellJonathan Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Andre Ewell(9 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -90.2|Blue +90.2
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre EwellTargetJonathan Martinez

By target zone

32
26% acc · 40%
Head
30
34% acc · 45%
43
88% acc · 54%
Body
15
56% acc · 23%
5
100% acc · 6%
Leg
21
78% acc · 32%

By position

78
45% acc · 98%
Distance
65
46% acc · 98%
2
40% acc · 3%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 2%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Andre Ewell rounds
1
even
0
Jonathan Martinez rounds
Round 1Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:02
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 2Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
80 / 177
Sig Strikes
66 / 142
44.7%
Sig Str %
46.7%
85 / 184
Total Strikes
74 / 151
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 3
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
1:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jonathan Martinez17 / 3425 / 430 / 10
1Andre Ewell27 / 5529 / 580 / 00
2Jonathan Martinez29 / 5829 / 580 / 20
2Andre Ewell34 / 6537 / 690 / 00
3Jonathan Martinez20 / 5020 / 500 / 00
3Andre Ewell19 / 5719 / 570 / 00

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15