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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Andre Ewell won · S-DEC

Elo1414

Elo1493

Andre EwellvsIrwin RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Saturday, September 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Ewell won

S-DEC

Style matchupAndre Ewell: Pressure fightervsIrwin Rivera: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Andre Ewell wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Andre Ewell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Ewell at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Ewell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Ewell has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Ewell

Red Corner

Irwin Rivera

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+187

(35%)

1414

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'6"

190.5 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre EwellL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Vera · Oct 19

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20

vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21

KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21

vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21

latest

Irwin Rivera

oldest →

vs Giga Chikadze · May 20

DECvs Ali Qaisi · Aug 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre EwellMetricIrwin Rivera

4.28

Strikes / min

3.36

4.87

Strikes absorbed / min

5.07

51%

Strike defense

57%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

1.00

72%

Takedown defense

70%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre EwellIrwin Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Ewell(9 fights)Irwin Rivera(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -78.7|Blue +78.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre EwellTargetIrwin Rivera

By target zone

35% acc · 63%

Head

37% acc · 60%

56% acc · 29%

Body

58% acc · 17%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

119

41% acc · 97%

Distance

45% acc · 91%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

25% acc · 1%

Ground

75% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Ewell rounds

even

Irwin Rivera rounds

Round 1Andre Ewell edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:48

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Andre Ewell edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Andre Ewell edged it

Sig. strikes55

Takedowns0

Control0:00

41Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

123 / 299

Sig Strikes

81 / 176

41%

Sig Str %

45.7%

124 / 301

Total Strikes

85 / 180

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 9

—

TD %

16.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:48

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Irwin Rivera	19 / 36	21 / 38	0 / 4
1	Andre Ewell	33 / 73	34 / 75	0 / 0
2	Irwin Rivera	21 / 61	21 / 61	0 / 3
2	Andre Ewell	35 / 97	35 / 97	0 / 0
3	Irwin Rivera	41 / 79	43 / 81	1 / 2
3	Andre Ewell	55 / 129	55 / 129	0 / 0

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9

Irwin Rivera

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3