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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Chris Gutierrez won · U-DEC

Elo1414

Elo1508

Andre EwellvsChris GutierrezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Saturday, February 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Chris Gutierrez won

U-DEC

Style matchupAndre Ewell: Pressure fightervsChris Gutierrez: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Chris Gutierrez wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Chris Gutierrez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chris Gutierrez at -129 American odds

+$78 profit

$178 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Gutierrez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Ewell (53.5%).
Andre Ewell has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Ewell

Red Corner

Chris Gutierrez

Blue Corner

+112

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-129

(56%)

1414

Elo

1508

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre EwellL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Vera · Oct 19

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20

vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20

KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21

vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21

latest

Chris Gutierrez

oldest →

vs Alatengheili · Oct 23

vs Song Yadong · Dec 23

vs Quang Le · Aug 24

vs John Castaneda · Apr 25

vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre EwellMetricChris Gutierrez

4.28

Strikes / min

4.40

4.87

Strikes absorbed / min

2.65

51%

Strike defense

63%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.30

72%

Takedown defense

67%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59Δ 2.34 — meaningful gap+1.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Andre EwellChris Gutierrez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Andre Ewell(9 fights)Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -93.7|Blue +93.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre EwellTargetChris Gutierrez

By target zone

27% acc · 25%

Head

39% acc · 33%

70% acc · 47%

Body

67% acc · 20%

67% acc · 27%

Leg

70% acc · 46%

By position

50% acc · 100%

Distance

53% acc · 88%

Clinch

80% acc · 12%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Andre Ewell rounds

even

Chris Gutierrez rounds

Round 1Chris Gutierrez edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Andre Ewell edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:09

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Chris Gutierrez edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

41Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 120

Sig Strikes

69 / 126

48.7%

Sig Str %

51.7%

62 / 124

Total Strikes

72 / 131

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Gutierrez	14 / 29	15 / 30	0 / 0	0
1	Andre Ewell	18 / 38	20 / 40	0 / 0	0
2	Chris Gutierrez	14 / 31	15 / 32	0 / 0	0
2	Andre Ewell	20 / 38	21 / 40	1 / 1	1
3	Chris Gutierrez	41 / 66	42 / 69	1 / 1	0
3	Andre Ewell	21 / 44	21 / 44	0 / 0	0

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights9

Chris Gutierrez

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights14