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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Andre Ewell won · U-DEC R3
Elo1414
Andre Ewell
Elo1493

Andre EwellvsAnderson Dos SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, June 22, 2019Greenville, South Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Andre Ewell won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAndre Ewell: Pressure fightervsAnderson Dos Santos: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Andre Ewell wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Andre Ewell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Ewell at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Ewell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Andre Ewell (53.5%).
  • Andre Ewell has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Andre Ewell
Red Corner
VS
Anderson Dos Santos
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
1414
Elo
1493
38
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Andre EwellL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20
W
vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21
L
KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21
L
vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21
latest
Anderson Dos Santos
oldest →
L
vs Nad Narimani · Nov 18
W
SUBvs Martin Day · Nov 20
L
KOvs Miles Johns · Aug 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Andre EwellMetricAnderson Dos Santos
4.28
Strikes / min
2.70
4.87
Strikes absorbed / min
5.37
51%
Strike defense
49%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.98
72%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap-2.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1485Strikes3.7 vs 2.7Takedowns0.2 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.50Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Andre EwellAnderson Dos Santos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Andre Ewell(9 fights)Anderson Dos Santos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -79.6|Blue +79.6
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Andre EwellTargetAnderson Dos Santos

By target zone

67
41% acc · 92%
Head
26
22% acc · 74%
5
63% acc · 7%
Body
3
60% acc · 9%
1
100% acc · 1%
Leg
6
60% acc · 17%

By position

72
42% acc · 99%
Distance
29
24% acc · 83%
1
100% acc · 1%
Clinch
4
100% acc · 11%
0
Ground
2
40% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Andre Ewell rounds
0
even
1
Anderson Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 2Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:02
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Anderson Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
73 / 173
Sig Strikes
35 / 132
42.7%
Sig Str %
27.7%
74 / 174
Total Strikes
63 / 163
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 9
TD %
23.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
3:52

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anderson Dos Santos13 / 5015 / 520 / 20
1Andre Ewell32 / 6933 / 700 / 00
2Anderson Dos Santos8 / 4711 / 501 / 20
2Andre Ewell25 / 7025 / 700 / 00
3Anderson Dos Santos14 / 3537 / 611 / 50
3Andre Ewell16 / 3416 / 340 / 00

Andre Ewell

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9

Anderson Dos Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4