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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Anderson Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1391

Elo1491

Anderson SilvavsYushin OkamiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · Saturday, August 27, 2011Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Anderson Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:04

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(64.9%)

Actual result: Anderson Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Yushin Okami has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Yushin Okami has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva

Red Corner

Yushin Okami

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+500

(17%)

1391

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Yushin Okami

oldest →

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13

KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13

SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17

vs Dhiego Lima · Apr 18

vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricYushin Okami

3.05

Strikes / min

2.06

2.05

Strikes absorbed / min

2.25

60%

Strike defense

60%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

1.98

69%

Takedown defense

84%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.00Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anderson SilvaYushin Okami

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anderson Silva(10 fights)Yushin Okami(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -100.6|Blue +100.6

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetYushin Okami

By target zone

66% acc · 67%

Head

29% acc · 69%

92% acc · 26%

Body

100% acc · 31%

60% acc · 7%

Leg

By position

62% acc · 49%

Distance

29% acc · 63%

89% acc · 19%

Clinch

75% acc · 38%

78% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anderson Silva rounds

even

Yushin Okami rounds

Round 1Anderson Silva edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 2Anderson Silva edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:33

Knockdowns2

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 61

Sig Strikes

16 / 43

69.5%

Sig Str %

34.5%

52 / 71

Total Strikes

27 / 54

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:33

Ctrl Time

1:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yushin Okami	12 / 27	23 / 38	0 / 1
1	Anderson Silva	18 / 27	22 / 31	0 / 0
2	Yushin Okami	4 / 16	4 / 16	0 / 0
2	Anderson Silva	25 / 34	30 / 40	0 / 0

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12