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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Michael Bisping won · U-DEC R5
Elo1391
Anderson Silva
Elo1363

Anderson SilvavsMichael BispingUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Michael Bisping won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupAnderson Silva: Well-roundedvsMichael Bisping: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Michael Bisping wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at -275 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Anderson Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva
Red Corner
VS
Michael Bisping
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
1391
Elo
1363
51
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16
W
vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17
L
vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19
L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20
latest
Michael BispingL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Thales Leites · Jul 15
W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Jun 16
W
vs Dan Henderson · Oct 16
L
SUBvs Georges St-Pierre · Nov 17
L
KOvs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricMichael Bisping
3.05
Strikes / min
4.33
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.71
60%
Strike defense
65%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.05
69%
Takedown defense
63%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1565 vs 1577Strikes31.8 vs 53.5Takedowns0.2 vs 1.1Sub Atts0.32 vs 0.21Form-0.4 vs 0.5
Anderson SilvaMichael Bisping

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Anderson Silva(10 fights)Michael Bisping(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red +567.0|Blue -567.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetMichael Bisping

By target zone

47
45% acc · 63%
Head
58
23% acc · 54%
15
83% acc · 20%
Body
12
60% acc · 11%
13
100% acc · 17%
Leg
38
84% acc · 35%

By position

69
55% acc · 92%
Distance
98
33% acc · 91%
4
80% acc · 5%
Clinch
4
67% acc · 4%
2
50% acc · 3%
Ground
6
55% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Anderson Silva rounds
1
even
3
Michael Bisping rounds
Round 1Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 4Michael Bisping edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
1
75 / 135
Sig Strikes
108 / 316
54.8%
Sig Str %
33.8%
75 / 135
Total Strikes
112 / 320
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:44

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michael Bisping17 / 5017 / 500 / 00
1Anderson Silva8 / 168 / 160 / 00
2Michael Bisping24 / 6627 / 690 / 00
2Anderson Silva11 / 2511 / 250 / 00
3Michael Bisping21 / 6221 / 620 / 00
3Anderson Silva18 / 3218 / 320 / 00
4Anderson Silva19 / 2719 / 270 / 00
4Michael Bisping28 / 8028 / 800 / 00
5Michael Bisping18 / 5819 / 590 / 10
5Anderson Silva19 / 3519 / 350 / 00

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14

Michael Bisping

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18