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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Anderson Silva won · U-DEC R5
Elo1391
Anderson Silva
Elo1402
Demian Maia

Anderson SilvavsDemian MaiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 112: Invincible · Saturday, April 10, 2010Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Anderson Silva won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupAnderson Silva: Well-roundedvsDemian Maia: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(74.8%)

Actual result: Anderson Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at -675 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Anderson Silva has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva
Red Corner
VS
Demian Maia
Blue Corner
-675
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
1391
Elo
1402
51
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16
W
vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17
L
vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19
L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20
latest
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19
W
DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19
W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19
L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricDemian Maia
3.05
Strikes / min
1.80
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
60%
Strike defense
63%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
2.49
69%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes30.2 vs 12.3Takedowns0.2 vs 1.6Sub Atts0.30 vs 1.29Form0.0 vs 0.0
Anderson SilvaDemian Maia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Anderson Silva(10 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -11.6|Blue +11.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetDemian Maia

By target zone

29
45% acc · 48%
Head
9
20% acc · 90%
6
60% acc · 10%
Body
0
0% acc
26
70% acc · 43%
Leg
1
33% acc · 10%

By position

57
56% acc · 93%
Distance
8
17% acc · 80%
0
Clinch
2
50% acc · 20%
4
44% acc · 7%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

5
Anderson Silva rounds
0
even
0
Demian Maia rounds
Round 1Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:24
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:14
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:18
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
61 / 111
Sig Strikes
10 / 52
56.6%
Sig Str %
17.8%
62 / 112
Total Strikes
11 / 53
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 13
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:22
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Demian Maia1 / 41 / 40 / 20
1Anderson Silva14 / 2114 / 210 / 00
2Demian Maia0 / 70 / 70 / 50
2Anderson Silva14 / 2414 / 240 / 00
3Demian Maia2 / 122 / 120 / 20
3Anderson Silva15 / 2915 / 290 / 00
4Anderson Silva11 / 1411 / 140 / 00
4Demian Maia2 / 82 / 80 / 00
5Demian Maia5 / 216 / 220 / 40
5Anderson Silva7 / 238 / 240 / 00

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14

Demian Maia

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26